2026-06-04

When the Co-Pilot Is an Algorithm: How Europe Plans to Make Aviation AI Trustworthy

The EU's aviation regulator just published a 239-page concept paper on making AI safe enough to fly. From artificial narrow intelligence to learning assurance and the W-shape process, the mental model behind trustworthy aviation AI, explained for non-experts.

Autopilots have flown aircraft for decades, but they only ever do exactly what a human spelled out, rule by rule, in code. The new wave of artificial intelligence is a different animal. It doesn’t follow rules so much as infer them: show it enough examples and it works out its own way to reach an answer. That is precisely what makes modern AI so powerful, and precisely what makes a safety regulator break out in a cold sweat. How do you bless a system as “safe to fly” when you can’t trace every decision back to a line someone wrote?

That single question is the reason the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), Europe’s aviation safety regulator, which decides whether aircraft, equipment and operations may fly, published a 239-page document with the unglamorous title Concept Paper: guidance for artificial intelligence applications. This post walks through just its opening chapters, the foreword and introduction, where EASA lays out the whole mental model before the technical fine print.

The glass cockpit of an Airbus A400M, with multiple multifunction displays and fly-by-wire sidesticks
Decades of cockpit automation still run on rules a human wrote line by line. EASA's concept paper is about what changes when the system starts inferring its own answers instead. Photo: Airbus A400M flight deck by Oleg V. Belyakov, CC BY-SA 3.0. source

A regulator thinking out loud

The first thing to understand is what a concept paper actually is: a document where a regulator reasons in public about rules that don’t exist yet. It is not binding law. EASA is blunt about this: the paper offers “actionable objectives” but “does not constitute at this stage definitive or detailed guidance.” Think of it as a weather forecast for regulation: a way for aircraft makers and airlines to see roughly what’s coming and start preparing years before anything becomes mandatory. Formally, it feeds EASA’s AI Roadmap 2.0 and a future rulemaking task (the formal process by which EASA turns ideas into binding regulation) with the bureaucratic codename RMT.0742.

It also doesn’t exist in isolation. In 2024 the EU passed the AI Act, Europe’s sweeping horizontal law on artificial intelligence. Its Article 108 specifically orders EASA to fold the Act’s requirements into aviation rules. So this paper is EASA’s attempt to keep two trains, aviation safety regulation and the new AI Act, running on the same track.

Which “AI” are we even talking about?

“AI” is a slippery word, so EASA narrows it down. The scope is artificial narrow intelligence, systems built for specific jobs in defined contexts, and explicitly not artificial general intelligence (the hypothetical do-anything machine), which the paper says “falls outside the boundaries of what can presently be certified.” Within that, EASA borrows the AI Act’s definition: a system that, for some objective, infers from its inputs how to generate outputs like predictions, recommendations or decisions.

The paper then splits the field in two. There’s machine learning (also called data-driven AI), algorithms whose performance improves as they’re exposed to data, the family that includes deep neural networks. And there’s logic- and knowledge-based AI, or LKB (also called symbolic AI), systems that reach conclusions by reasoning over an explicit base of logic and knowledge, the way an old-school expert system would. EASA is careful here: an LKB system is not the same as a traditional rule-based program where every rule is hand-written into the code and fully traceable. In an LKB system, a reasoning engine draws its own inferences from the knowledge base, which is exactly why it needs new oversight. The two families can also be combined (hybrid AI), and today’s generative large language models (LLMs) are explicitly pulled into scope as well. All of it counts.

Four levels of letting go

The heart of the framework is a ladder describing how much the human hands over to the machine. EASA defines four AI levels, each with sub-levels, and the boundaries between them are drawn on a beautifully simple logic: is a person directly in the loop → who actually makes the decision → how much authority has been handed to the AI?

  • Level 0, low automation. The AI quietly gathers and analyses information in the background, with no direct user interaction and no link to a decision. Think of a system that crunches sensor data but never speaks to anyone.
  • Level 1, assistance to human. Now a person is directly interacting with the AI, but the human still makes every call. It splits into 1A (human augmentation, sharpening what the person perceives) and 1B (helping the person choose a decision or action). The line between Level 0 and Level 1 is purely about whether an end user is in direct contact; the decision-making is identical.
  • Level 2, human-AI cooperation or collaboration. Here the AI can automatically select and carry out actions, but the human keeps full control and can override at any moment, in a “progressive release of partial authority.” 2A is cooperation (the AI helps you reach your goal); 2B is collaboration, also called human-AI teaming, where human and machine pursue a shared goal together.
  • Level 3, advanced automation. Now the AI is given full authority to make and carry out decisions. In 3A a human still safeguards it from a distance, able to step in when alerted; in 3B there’s no human involved at all.

The jump that matters most is from Level 2 to Level 3: at 2B the human is still predominantly responsible, while at Level 3 the AI is genuinely in charge.

Turning the dials: criticality and proportionality

A chatbot suggesting a maintenance tip and an AI flying an aircraft are wildly different risks, so EASA refuses to treat them the same. Every AI (sub)system gets an assurance level reflecting how much damage a failure could cause: a DAL (development assurance level) for airworthiness and air operations, or a SWAL (software assurance level) for air traffic management and air navigation services (ATM/ANS). The whole rulebook then scales to match, a principle EASA calls proportionality: the more critical the application, the deeper the scrutiny. Picture a set of dials that you turn up for a life-or-death function and down for a trivial one.

The control tower at Beijing Daxing International Airport with airliners parked on the apron
Air traffic management and air navigation services (ATM/ANS) sit squarely in scope, one of the domains where EASA assigns a software assurance level (SWAL). Photo: control tower at Beijing Daxing International Airport by Benlisquare, CC BY-SA 4.0. source

The four building blocks of trustworthy AI

EASA organises everything into four building blocks, the load-bearing pillars of its trustworthy-AI framework, and the way they fit together reveals the paper’s core philosophy.

The first block, trustworthiness analysis, is the entry gate. It is always performed in its full spectrum, no matter the application: you characterise the AI, then run safety/risk, security and ethics assessments before anything else, and it also seeds the continuous risk assessment that keeps watching the system long after it enters service. The other three blocks are the dials from earlier; their depth flexes with the application’s criticality and level. They are AI assurance (proving the AI itself was built right), human-centred design (making sure people and machines interact safely), and AI safety risk mitigation (managing the dangers of advanced automation that runs with little or no direct human oversight).

Underneath sits the philosophy that ties it all together. EASA openly admits you can never exhaustively verify every behaviour of a learning or reasoning system; there are simply too many possible inputs. So the goal is not perfect proof but bounded and managed uncertainty: you can’t chart every wave in the ocean, so instead you mark out exactly which waters you’ll sail and put up guardrails for the rest.

The clever new ideas

To make that philosophy work, the paper introduces several genuinely novel concepts.

The biggest is learning assurance (and its sibling LKB assurance): the recognition that, with AI, the burden of trust shifts from the code to the data and knowledge. Traditional software is judged by tracing every line back to a requirement. But an AI’s behaviour comes from what it learned, so assurance pivots to the correctness, completeness and representativeness of the training data, scenarios or knowledge base, plus evidence the model generalises to situations it never saw. It’s the difference between reading a student’s brain and instead checking that they studied the right material and can pass an exam on fresh problems. (The same logic even opens a cautious door to off-the-shelf models like LLMs, under strict criticality limits and careful performance evaluation.)

But if you can’t trace behaviour to requirements, you need a stand-in. That’s the operational domain (OD) and operational design domain (ODD), a precise description of the conditions the AI is built to handle (the OD at system level, the ODD a finer-grained version at the AI level). EASA calls this OD/ODD pair a “proxy” for traceability: instead of “this output came from that rule,” you get “this output happened inside the boundaries we declared the system could handle.”

To rebuild the development process around all this, EASA bends the classic engineering blueprint. Traditional assurance follows a V-shape (requirements down one side, verification up the other). AI gets a second V bolted on for the data side, producing a W-shape: the first V manages the data, scenarios and knowledge that shape the model; the second V handles the actual implementation. Wrapping the AI is a new architectural idea, the AI constituent, a flexible “box” that can hold a sliver of a component or a whole cluster of them, yet from the outside behaves like an ordinary part (an “item”) so it slots neatly into existing aviation engineering practice. It’s the messy AI sealed inside a tidy, standard-shaped cartridge.

Then there’s explainability, the ability of an AI to tell a human enough about how it reached a result. Crucially, this does not mean “show everything.” Full transparency of a deep neural network would be useless to a pilot mid-flight. Instead the paper splits it in two: operational explainability (the right information, at the right level of detail, at the right moment, for the end user actually using the system) and development explainability (the deep technical view that engineers, certifiers and accident investigators need). The audience determines the explanation.

On the human side, EASA carefully distinguishes cooperation (Level 2A, the AI works to help you reach your goal, like a smart power tool that does what you point it at) from collaboration (Level 2B, human and AI share a goal, share situation awareness, and communicate, like a genuine teammate). And for Level 3, where humans step back, it adds two new oversight ideas: remote oversight, where a person intervenes only when the system alerts them, and delegated oversight, where an independent “operational oversight system” is built to emulate the watchful human, both designed to satisfy the EU AI Act’s Article 14 demand that AI remain under effective human oversight.

Finally, a refreshingly optimistic idea: net safety benefit. Historically, certification only ever asked “what happens when this breaks?” and gave no credit for the lives a system might save. EASA proposes flipping that: if an AI demonstrably makes operations safer overall, it can earn a one-level reduction in its required assurance level (within firm limits, never for the most catastrophic failure conditions, and never below a defined floor), judged by a dedicated EASA governance board. The paper also makes room for service experience, letting systems run in “shadow operations” to gather real-world data, and for keeping aviation’s oversight of AI coherent with, rather than duplicating, the AI Act.

Why this matters

Strip away the acronyms and the W-shapes, and this paper is really about a profession learning to say “yes” to a technology it doesn’t yet fully understand, without lowering the bar that has made flying the safest way to travel. EASA’s bet is that you tame AI not by demanding the impossible, but by bounding what the machine may do and scaling the scrutiny to the stakes. It is a deliberate balancing act between safety and innovation, and a quiet signal that the age of AI in the cockpit is no longer a question of if, but of how carefully.

EASAAviationAI SafetyTrustworthy AIMachine LearningEU AI Act